Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.003796 0.003990 0.004189 0.004409 0.004644 0.004890 0.005166
2025-07-06 0.003360 0.003637 0.003932 0.004272 0.004654 0.005070 0.005561
2025-07-13 0.003159 0.003488 0.003849 0.004276 0.004771 0.005331 0.006015
2025-07-20 0.003043 0.003415 0.003833 0.004340 0.004943 0.005644 0.006530
2025-07-27 0.002891 0.003287 0.003739 0.004299 0.004980 0.005791 0.006844
2025-08-03 0.002768 0.003182 0.003664 0.004270 0.005023 0.005939 0.007158
2025-08-10 0.002658 0.003086 0.003591 0.004237 0.005053 0.006067 0.007447
2025-08-17 0.002611 0.003063 0.003603 0.004306 0.005211 0.006358 0.007959
2025-08-24 0.002529 0.002992 0.003552 0.004290 0.005256 0.006504 0.008282
2025-08-31 0.002448 0.002918 0.003494 0.004261 0.005281 0.006619 0.008566
2025-09-07 0.002362 0.002835 0.003419 0.004207 0.005267 0.006680 0.008773
2025-09-14 0.002280 0.002754 0.003344 0.004148 0.005243 0.006723 0.008954
2025-09-21 0.002228 0.002709 0.003314 0.004149 0.005302 0.006885 0.009319
2025-09-28 0.002125 0.002597 0.003193 0.004023 0.005179 0.006785 0.009289
2025-10-05 0.002082 0.002559 0.003169 0.004026 0.005236 0.006943 0.009655
2025-10-12 0.002062 0.002553 0.003185 0.004085 0.005373 0.007220 0.010220
2025-10-19 0.002007 0.002497 0.003134 0.004047 0.005369 0.007289 0.010459
2025-10-26 0.001960 0.002450 0.003092 0.004021 0.005379 0.007378 0.010733
2025-11-02 0.001913 0.002403 0.003048 0.003990 0.005381 0.007454 0.010989
2025-11-09 0.001902 0.002404 0.003070 0.004054 0.005525 0.007755 0.011638
2025-11-16 0.001865 0.002367 0.003040 0.004040 0.005551 0.007869 0.011975
2025-11-23 0.001825 0.002326 0.003002 0.004013 0.005556 0.007950 0.012257
2025-11-30 0.001779 0.002276 0.002949 0.003963 0.005522 0.007967 0.012424